Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.067214 0.072211 0.077419 0.083257 0.089627 0.096375 0.104074
2025-12-07 0.056455 0.063566 0.071401 0.080705 0.091488 0.103638 0.118428
2025-12-14 0.048240 0.056328 0.065637 0.077206 0.091286 0.107979 0.129432
2025-12-21 0.043152 0.051921 0.062384 0.075896 0.093041 0.114281 0.142916
2025-12-28 0.040255 0.049723 0.061384 0.076968 0.097498 0.123974 0.161283
2026-01-04 0.037732 0.047678 0.060270 0.077612 0.101233 0.132816 0.179153
2026-01-11 0.035110 0.045238 0.058372 0.076938 0.102981 0.138935 0.193635
2026-01-18 0.033005 0.043287 0.056914 0.076648 0.105091 0.145558 0.209278
2026-01-25 0.030817 0.041050 0.054874 0.075325 0.105527 0.149673 0.221393
2026-02-01 0.028621 0.038649 0.052426 0.073197 0.104544 0.151495 0.229970
2026-02-08 0.026756 0.036592 0.050320 0.071387 0.103838 0.153578 0.239012
2026-02-15 0.025201 0.034882 0.048595 0.069999 0.103622 0.156324 0.249276
2026-02-22 0.024308 0.034103 0.048216 0.070672 0.106751 0.164780 0.270339
2026-03-01 0.022787 0.032326 0.046261 0.068788 0.105664 0.166268 0.279421
2026-03-08 0.021152 0.030295 0.043814 0.065973 0.102844 0.164601 0.282608
2026-03-15 0.020084 0.029068 0.042524 0.064916 0.102853 0.167742 0.294974
2026-03-22 0.019564 0.028646 0.042450 0.065818 0.106220 0.177003 0.319965
2026-03-29 0.018998 0.028120 0.042177 0.066357 0.108975 0.185363 0.344105
2026-04-05 0.018233 0.027243 0.041292 0.065799 0.109731 0.190074 0.361323
2026-04-12 0.017587 0.026522 0.040622 0.065559 0.111024 0.195870 0.381427
2026-04-19 0.016810 0.025556 0.039499 0.064461 0.110649 0.198400 0.394748
2026-04-26 0.015952 0.024422 0.038044 0.062692 0.108894 0.198061 0.401655
2026-05-03 0.015197 0.023425 0.036776 0.061186 0.107533 0.198388 0.410081